2023 MLB Draft: Justin Lee, RHP, Notre Dame HS

Player: Justin Lee
School: Notre Dame HS (CA)                                                        Position(s): RHP
Height: 6’4″                      Weight: 200 lbs.                        Bats: Right                        Throws: Right
Fastball: 90-95, 4-seamer but still has plenty of run. Some downhill plane., Average offering currently, could easily become an above-average pitch in future.
Splitter: 79-85, Learned pitch this summer and it is already his best pitch. Absolutely falls off the table. Good arm speed. Some upside of a plus-plus offering but easily should reach plus. Best split I have seen from a prep arm.
Slider: 82-85, Running breaker with some late depth and two plane action. By far the third best offering but could become average in time. https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js
Delivery/Mechanics: Stretch only despite starting pitcher. Without runners on he has a big leg kick that actually closes off body some but with a ton of balance. Good leg drive, limited effort. Lower 3/4 arm slot helps create the action on FB despite it being a four seam. Plenty of extension and smooth finish. Speeds up delivery with runners on but arm does not lag behind body as result, limited loss in stuff when focused on getting to plate quicker. Can go back to nobody on style delivery once runner reaches second base. Really good pick move. https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js
Other: Committed to UCLA.
Summary: Given the excellent balance through his delivery and low effort, the future for Lee certainly looks to be that of a starter. The slider being just average in terms of future projection does lead to some concern about that ability to stay in a rotation but it should develop enough to at least be average. There is a slight concern with command issue arm side but, for the most part, the command is solid. The development of the splitter is huge for him and it could be a carrying pitch. It is on offering that can make him effective against hitters at both sides of the plate. The ceiling for Lee isn’t massive, but might be as high a floor as there is among prep arms this season. I project him as a mid-rotation starter and a round two or three pick, but wouldn’t blame a team at the back end of round one from giving him a look.

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